The concept of demographic transition provides a model for

The demographic transition model (DTM) is a theoretical framework used to examine the relationship between economic development and natural population change. It describes how a region's population shifts from high birth and death rates to low birth and death rates as it progresses from a rural, agrarian society to an urban, industrial, and literate one [3]. The theory posits that population growth rates cycle through specific stages as a country develops economically [2]. While it tracks changes in fertility and mortality, the model specifically focuses on the 'natural' change resulting from the gap between birth and death rates rather than external factors like migration. It serves as a tool to describe and predict future population trends based on historical patterns of socioeconomic transformation [1].

Sources

1. [1] FUNDAMENTALS OF HUMAN GEOGRAPHY, CLASS XII (NCERT 2025 ed.) > Chapter 2: The World Population Distribution, Density and Growth > DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION > p. 10
2. [3] Geography of India ,Majid Husain, (McGrawHill 9th ed.) > Chapter 13: Cultural Setting > India—Demographic Transition and Population Growth > p. 63
3. [2] Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 19: Population and Demographic Dividend > STAGES OF DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION > p. 558